In a backward facing exercise like this, I don’t think it really matters. Numbers will be a little different but order will be mostly the same. The true different is probably somewhere in the middle but I’m of the opinion in todays day and age that travel impacts teams a lot less. Rest advantage and frequency of travel probably matters more.
Stafford played half a season - which I did not remember until I looked. So for half the year they still would have been perceived as an above average team until he got hurt.
That's fair but their offensive line was atrocious. Really surprised to see them above competent teams like the Lions who actually beat good teams. Best team the Rams beat was the Raiders. But I've loved Staff since day 1 and they have McVay so I'm not throwing shade on the 2023 season. Just couldn't watch them last year. They really missed Whitworth.
Agreed. Remember this isn't a projection to this season. Just a reflection on how the market rated them last season. Anytime a team has a top 10 QB, that's going to carry a lot of weight and it's going to take the market a long time to catch up if they're playing below their projections.
Conversely, the Lions were rated as a bad team the first half of the season, and really didn't start getting respect until the last third of the season probably. So their numbers are weighed down by the weeks of poor ratings.
This is why carrying your own set of power ratings can be beneficial - if you see something that isn't being reflected in the market, you may be able to find an edge.
Really good stuff, I’ve always used 2 points for the default home field, any thoughts on using 1 versus 2?
In a backward facing exercise like this, I don’t think it really matters. Numbers will be a little different but order will be mostly the same. The true different is probably somewhere in the middle but I’m of the opinion in todays day and age that travel impacts teams a lot less. Rest advantage and frequency of travel probably matters more.
I can't believe the Rams were so high up after their awful season!
Stafford played half a season - which I did not remember until I looked. So for half the year they still would have been perceived as an above average team until he got hurt.
That's fair but their offensive line was atrocious. Really surprised to see them above competent teams like the Lions who actually beat good teams. Best team the Rams beat was the Raiders. But I've loved Staff since day 1 and they have McVay so I'm not throwing shade on the 2023 season. Just couldn't watch them last year. They really missed Whitworth.
Agreed. Remember this isn't a projection to this season. Just a reflection on how the market rated them last season. Anytime a team has a top 10 QB, that's going to carry a lot of weight and it's going to take the market a long time to catch up if they're playing below their projections.
Conversely, the Lions were rated as a bad team the first half of the season, and really didn't start getting respect until the last third of the season probably. So their numbers are weighed down by the weeks of poor ratings.
This is why carrying your own set of power ratings can be beneficial - if you see something that isn't being reflected in the market, you may be able to find an edge.